Thursday, October 1, 2009

New Wedge?

September is over, the month that usually goes to the bears went to the bulls.


The monthly trendline from the lows in March to September has been almost straight up and has formed a new ascending wedge pattern.  The daily ascending wedge pattern was watch by many bears but never broke to the downside.  This is a monthly chart so it will take all of October to see if the wedge breaks, but it is an interesting longer-term time frame pattern to look at.  On a longer time frame, the monthly SPX closed below it's 21 EMA and met strong resistance above 1070.  There is also a large amount of overhead supply above the 1070 level.  On a support side, watch for the 200MA and 200EMA to be possible bounce areas.  There may also be support around the 2001 lows.

Resistance:
1061-1110

Support:
1035
1000
1019
992

Watch for these levels especially when they are met with daily support or resistance levels